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countrysignal gives every country one combined view (no new major signal, caution, or avoid). It keeps the official travel baseline separate from its faster change signal, then applies the more conservative level. This page explains both layers and their limits.
Each country has a slow official baseline and a faster change-detection layer:
| Signal | What it captures |
|---|---|
| Official baseline | Structured UK FCDO travel guidance, refreshed regularly and linked to its source. An official caution or avoid level sets a floor that the live layer cannot lower. |
| Natural hazards | Live earthquakes, tsunamis, storms, floods and wildfires, with their real footprint. |
| Armed conflict | A registry of active conflicts and their status (on-soil, fought abroad, or tension), updated as situations change. |
| Civil unrest | An anomaly signal from world news volume and tone, used only as corroboration. |
| Forward risk | Dated scenario probabilities for conflict-affected countries. |
Avoid means the official baseline or a confirmed severe live condition is at avoid. Caution means the official baseline or live layer requires extra review. No new major signal means the monitored live layer found no major change and the official baseline did not set a higher floor. It never means every place or trip is guaranteed safe.
Disaster events appear within minutes of confirmation and leave the map when they end. Forecast events are labeled expected rather than started. Conflict and news signals refresh continuously. The official baseline refreshes every 12 hours by default. Each page shows when its live view was updated.
countrysignal is an information service, not official travel advice, and its verdicts are estimates that can be wrong. It does not replace your government's travel guidance or local emergency authorities. When officials give instructions, follow them first.